BUHARI, ASARI AND THE PLOT TO TEAR NIGERIA APART

When I alleged in my last Facebook post for the year 2014 that Nigeria may likely face a graver wave of insurgency or civil war or militancy in 2015 as a resultant effect of whatever the outcome of the February 14 elections may be, some overzealous Nigerians began calling me names. Let me remind you of one saying that I have kept faith with in my last two articles; History truly matters. Those who fail to take the lessons of history seriously are planning to go into oblivion. There is a new lesson that history is presenting before us today.

In the year 2012 and consequent upon the Presidential election that General Buhari lost to Jonathan, he pledged to Nigerians in a broadcast in Kaduna that “God willing, by 2015, something will happen. They either conduct a free and fair election or they go a very disgraceful way. If what happened in 2011 (alleged rigging) should again happen in 2015, by the grace of God, the dog and the baboon would all be soaked in blood”. He was merely giving his voice to the wave of violence that had already commenced in the North-East. A literary translation of the words and posture of this General suggests that whatever election he loses must have been rigged! And that is the sad aspect of Nigerian politics; it is free and fair if I win, rigged if I lose.

I am to quickly remind you also, that immediately the results of the 2011 elections were announced, General Buhari’s supporters in the North went on uncontrollable rampage, killing, maiming and destroying properties belonging to people they perceive to be unsympathetic to the Buhari agenda. Let us clearly note that while all the violence raged on, General Buhari did not for a day call to order those killing because of his ambition and he never cautioned those making unpatriotic remarks in his name; the likes of Junaid Mohammed. I am yet to bring out this lesson of history I am talking about.

The statement credited to GMB above also signifies that he silently agrees with those his supporters who went killing and destroying in his name and it signifies that there are grand plans to unleash more mayhem in 2015 if he loses again! It seems we are getting to the interesting part now. Just recently also, statements credited to Rotimi Amaechi of Rivers State has it that his party, the APC is ready to ‘resist’ rigging by ‘all means’ and form a parallel government if the need arises. Is anybody seeing the tendency of a break-up already? Ok, be patient.

If a lot of killings were perpetrated in the North after the 2011 elections, then Buhari himself went on to make graver promises towards 2015, then Amaechi goes on to insinuate a possible parallel government, what other assurance are we waiting for before we know that there is a master plan to break the nation into pieces? In case you consider this fact to be one-sided, let us see the flip side of the coin.

Just recently, Alhaji Asari Dokubo made a media outburst claiming that President Goodluck Jonathan had already won the yet-to-be conducted Presidential elections and that any attempt to rig him out will be met with grave violence and complete cut-off of the North from Nigeria. He boasted that the Niger Delta Volunteers Forum had all it needed to prosecute such ‘war’ in its armoury. I believe it is getting interesting now. This means, that the NDVF already made a lot of preparations towards tearing the nation apart on their own end too. I hate to be right on this, but it seems my prediction is beginning to hold water.

To validate Dokubo’s claim, Chief Government Ekpemupolo just recently acquired 6 warships in the name of oil pipeline protection contracts awarded his firm by the Federal Government. I believe these warships have been procured to prosecute a total war against the Nigerian nation if it gets to that point. I do not blame them honestly.

Let my freshen our memories on the lessons of history. Gowon waged total war against the Biafra nation when it attempted to secede from Nigeria around 1967; he was a northerner waging war against the South-East and their South-South allies. Need I remind you that Governor Godswill Obot Akpabio of Akwa Ibom lost both his parents in that Civil war and became homeless, His parents were not soldiers neither were they militants, yet they were killed because these soldiers waged an ethnic war nearly eradicating the entire Biafra region. Akpabio now has the opportunity to sponsor certain people in a bit to get back his own pound of flesh; do you think he will let the opportunity pass? The average Niger Delta person believes the North hates them because they want to take over their oil; maybe that is true after all.

General Buhari came to power in 1983 and imprisoned a good number of southerners in a major crackdown on his perceived political enemies. You think the south-south people do not want their revenge or freedom? Kenule "Ken" Beeson Saro Wiwa was hanged by the government of Gen. Sani Abacha for a crime he was not found guilty of. This was a foremost leader of the Ogoni people in whom they had high hopes. Again, a northerner dashed their hopes. And you still think they want to keep quiet and watch GEj lose to another northerner before the completion of two full terms?

I have said continually in my write-ups that the battle for 2015 is deeper than politics as we see it. Presently, it is well established that northerners own 83% of the oil blocks in the South-south region! The ownership of the oil blocks according to Senator Ita Enang looks like this:

“Cavendish Petroleum, the operators of OML 110, awarded to Alhaji Mai Deribe of Borno State (North East), makes an average of about N4bn monthly.

He said, “Seplat/Platform Petroleum, operators of the ASUOKPU/UMUTU marginal field has Prince Sanusi Lamido (not CBN Governor) as a major shareholder and Director.

“South Atlantic Petroleum Limited (SAPETRO), was established by Gen. Theophilus Yakubu Danjuma, who is also the Chairman of ENI Nigeria Limited. SAPETRO partnered with Total Upstream Nigeria Limited (TUPNI) and Brasoil Oil Services Company Nigeria Lomited to become operators of the OPL 246.

“AMNI International Petroleum and Development Company is owned by Alhaji (Colonel) Sani Bello of Kotangora, Niger State. They are operators of OML 112 and OML 117.

“A former Petroleum minister and former OPEC chairman, Rilwanu Lukman, another northerner, manages AMNI oil blocks and with very key interests in the NNPC/Vitol trading deal.

“Oriental Energy Resources Limited, a company owned by Alhaji Indimi, runs three oil blocks: OML 15, the Okwok field and the Ebok field.

“Alhaji Aminu Dantata’s Express Petroleum and Gas Limited operates OML 108.

“OML 113 allocated to Yinka Folawiyo Petroleum Limited is owned by Alhaji. W.I. Folawiyo.

“OPL 291 was awarded to Starcrest Energy Nigeria Limited, owned by Emeka Offor, which was sold by Starcrest to Addax Petroleum. Emeka Offor still has a stake in Addax operations in Nigeria.

“Mike Adenuga’s Conoil is the oldest indigenous oil exploration industry in Nigeria with six oil blocks;

“Alhaji Saleh Mohammed Gambo’s North East Petroleum Limited is the holder of the OPL 215 licence. NOREASTER Petroleum was awarded blocks OPL 276 and OPL 283 and closing thereupon a Joint Venture Agreement with Centrica Resources Nigeria Limited and CCC Oil and Gas.

“INTEL is owned by (Abubakar) Atiku, Yar’Adua and Ado Bayero and has substantial stakes in Nigeria’s oil exploration industry, both in Nigeria and Sao Tome and Principe”.

Now, it is obvious that for years, the principle of Federal Character had been thrown into the waste basket just so the Northern elites can continually benefit from the natural resources abundant in the south-south region, for which the inhabitants of the Niger Delta suffer grave environmental consequences. It is a fact, that the year 2016 strategically presents an opportunity for the Niger Delta people under a non-Northern president to reverse that ugly trend and balance out the oil block ownership equation or even take the upper hand in the license arrangement. This hope will be dashed should Goodluck lose. The northerners on their end are being this desperate because they cannot afford to allow the Niger Delta people have their way in this regard because their up-to-now dominance of the Nigerian economic space will be reversed. That explains why there has been a lot of threats and desperate moves in the countdown to February 14.

So what lessons does history put forward to us today?

 The northerners have enslaved the rest of Nigeria for years by buying up the entire resources upon which the economy of the nation rests. The Niger Deltans want to reverse that.

 Goodluck Jonathan allows the freedom of expression too much. If he did not arrest Buhari for threatening violence in 2011 and 2015, why are some silly Buhari supporters asking him to call Dokubo to order? Did they all publicly condemn Buhari or call him to order when he made these careless assertions?

 When a people continually get cheated, they soon get pushed to the wall and are then ready to revolt and secede. Biafrans were pushed to the wall, they revolted, and their only mistake was that they lacked what such a revolt required. The Niger Deltans are more prepared now, maybe even better equipped than the Nigerian army and they are ready to revolt.

When greed drives a people, they are willing to take the lives of even their kinsmen in the pursuit of their desires. That explains Boko Haram and the desperate moves by the North to retake power.
  
 History finally teaches us, as is in the case of the Soviet Union, Ukraine, Sudan and Korea that every marriage of inconvenience premised on perpetual cheating of the lesser partner by the mightier one eventually leads to an irreparable breakdown. We might have something like that on our hands in 2015.

 History finally teaches us that every unholy dominance that reeks of oppression often ends in a major revolt and eventual crash and often times, burn!

So we get to my main reason for writing this piece. Buhari and his northern compatriots as well as his south-western accomplices are threatening fire and brimstone; Dokubo and his Niger Delta people alongside their other sympathizers spread all over the country are also preparing for a total war. This is the plot to either rule Nigeria, or tear it apart. So I humbly ask all pro-Buhari supporters to stop being hypocrites. Dokubo is standing in the defence of his people and their land and the grave injustice that has been done to them in the past...Buhari stands for the group of Northern thieves who have perpetrated that injustice over the past 54 years of Nigeria's existence! Buhari threatened Nigerians first, Dokubo just did the same; instead of being melodramatic, we all should rather pray hard or pack our bags!

As for the author, I am going to hide in my great grandfather’s farm very close to the Malawian border....laughs out loud!

Namaste!

ODERINU ADEDAYO T.

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