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Its Night Thoughts today again with your amiable friend, Dayo Oderinu. Let's take this ride together tonight and reason together!
Two days ago, President Muhammadu Buhari became five months old as President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. These five months being crucial takeoff periods is undoubtedly a time that should have been utilized for setting clear roadmaps for governance, formulating and making known key government policies that will shape the actions of this government for the remainder of its four years.
The most important question is, do we have any roadmap so far? Because he just clocked five months, I will examine his government using five key issues that affect our collective future. These are areas where I believe he has completely lacked knowledge.
1. WHY SHOULD WE KEEP DEFENDING THE NAIRA WITH OUR FOREIGN RESERVE?
I like to simplify complex government statements such that a layman can easily understand how these big vocabularies affect his life.
In recent times, the CBN has been defending the value of the Naira with our Foreign Reserves. What does this mean?
It is a known fact that crude oil remains the largest foreign exchange earner for Nigeria. Nigeria import activities on the other hand relies on the nation's foreign exchange to transact business. What this simply means is, the value of the dollars available to importers to transact their business is a function of how much forex the nation earns per time. Because the Nigerian system is such that encourages import at the expense of local production, that import forex requirement is quite huge.
In the days when crude sold competitively in the market, importers had access to huge foreign exchange as the country was earning wonderful figures in this regard. Then prices of crude crashed and the crisis began. Two things became evident in the face of the crisis that followed: it became difficult for importers to access foreign exchange, as little was coming in, so the forces of demand and supply settled in, and the dollar began selling at outrageous rates. The second thing that became evident is, Nigeria no longer earns enough from crude sales to fund its import requirements.
Instead of allowing marketplace determine the value of the Naira however, Baba's administration in his bid to force up the value of the naira, due to his uninformed campaign promises, is allowing the CBN to continue defending the naira with our foreign reserve.
The problem with this arrangement is, the FG through the CBN will keep depleting the Reserve towards defending the naira; unfortunately, if crude oil prices do not go up soon, we might end up emptying the reserve and the problem will still be left unsolved.
The common sense solution was, discourage importation as much as possible, stimulate local production at all cost and drastically reduce the nation's requirement for the dollar. But pending that time, allow the market forces dictate the value of the naira. Yes, commodity prices will go up, but it will soon spread around and once local production is promoted, the temporal hardships will disappear.
That was why I asked the question, why did Col. Hamid Ali (Rtd) lift the ban on rice importation? The answer that I got from pro-Buhari politicians was that the nation was losing much to smugglers, so it became better to lift the ban and receive appropriate duty payments. This argument is deficient. Even in the US, consumer products are daily smuggled from Mexico into the US....I am saying every nation loses a sizeable amount to smugglers in duty payments. Which risk was costlier? Attempting to increase duty collectibles or the fact that forex requirements will skyrocket in the process of legalizing rice import? I prefer we make our borders as secure as possible and continue to disallow the importation of rice so we can encourage local production.
Baba Buhari has ignorantly been pursuing a monetary policy that does not in any way contribute to the long term value of the naira and yet is draining our foreign reserves. He has not performed at all in this regard!
4. WILL BOKO HARAM TRULY END IN DECEMBER? AND WHERE ARE THE CHIBOK GIRLS?
It is saddening to note that in the last five months of President Buhari's administration, the mindless killings going on in the North East seem to have taken an even more worrisome dimension. People are now being killed like lizards.
What is baffling about the whole scenario is, Buhari boasted before the elections that Boko Haram would become history before he clocks one month on the seat. He won public sympathy with his many talks about Jonathan's incapacitation to end Boko Haram and his bad disposition towards the rescue of the Chibok Girls.
Today however, we are seeing more killings, the army is saying they do not even know the location of the girls again while Baba has continued feeding us with December deadline. Is this still possible? Why are we not seeing Madam Ezekwesili and her followers run campaigns for the chibok girls as they did in Jonathan's time? Do we assume that the Chibok drama was a fraud after all?
The big assertion here is, from all reports and indications, Baba has done no better than GEJ in the fight against insurgency. All we have right now, is the same worrisome situation still pending in our society.
5. WILL WE DRIVE ON ANTI-CORRUPTION?
So far, a number of projects that were already ongoing before GEJ left office have been abandoned.
Of notable importance is the Lagos-Ibadan expressway that was supposed to ease the vehicular movements that has long become worrisome on this route. The big question here is, if projects are being suspended because Baba is busy fighting corruption, shall we then drive on anti-corruption highway now?
The fight against corruption is commendable if sincere, but while we fight corruption, we must as well allow for the full functionality of government institutions.
We do not necessarily have to cripple the system because we must catch thieves!
I ask that we all join hands and pray for Buhari though, for in the success of his administration lies also peace and prosperity for us, lest we have a failed government at the end of these four years!
Have a blissful night!
On today's session of night thoughts, we will attempt to answer together, a fundamental question that begs answers if our democracy will ever grow.
What is the will of the people (electorates)?
On April 11, 2015, I witnessed all manner of despicable undemocratic practices at the various polling units that I was privileged to visit. The memory of that fateful day, coupled with recent happenings at the tribunals, has prompted me to ask this very important question. What is the will of the people? Is it a PDP-led government? Or APC-led? Or LP-led? Or what?
In one of the polling units I visited, I witnessed firsthand the attempt by one sycophant to intimidate members of an opposition party. He had a field day shooting sporadically in the air, while the police officers looked without concern. As the opponents mobilized to retaliate, the police began their own round of shooting and this festival of gunshots went on for almost two hours. In this scenario, the police obviously helped the troublemaker to oppress his opponents. This troublemaker was APC, the opponents were AP.
The night before the elections however, I witnessed the attempt by one of the political parties to rubbish one electoral officer based on devilish accusations. She was manhandled, embarrassed and handed over to the police for an offence she did not commit. Her release took the combined efforts of members of another party. The liars in this case were AP while the rescuers were APC.
On the day of the election again, I witnessed the unruly behaviour of one party agent. He was so unlawful that he attempted to confiscate the card reader from the APO II for his unit. His reason was, the officials refused to show him the card reader after every scan. It took the combined efforts of several elders to calm the situation. The troublemaker in this case was LP while the peacemakers were APC and PDP.
In another polling unit, I witnessed the trouble-ready disposition of one of the party agents. He was so badly mannered that he picked fights with every person whose opinion differed from his at the unit. We were able to control his troubles eventually though. He was PDP.
The irony of this illustration is, all of the parties involved acted illegally at one point or the other. Their actions were tailored at every instance, towards intimidating voters and creating undue advantages for their parties. Yet, these same parties will go on air today and claim to be fighting for the mandate of the people. Which mandate?
During the Presidential elections, Prof Attahiru Jega did the unexpected. Around midday, he instructed that all poll officials revert to manual verification of voters since the card readers were malfunctioning in many places. Factually speaking, this instruction gave the APC undue advantage in a State like Kano and the PDP undue advantage in a State like Rivers. Both parties exploited the situation and committed grave electoral offences. These actions were repeated in the Gubernatorial election.
You ask me, why are all these facts necessary? To answer two other important questions I'll tell you.
1. As majority of the judgement delivered at the tribunals have favored APC so far, majority of their supporters have been describing the situation as 'victory for democracy', 'victory for the rule of law' and in some cases, 'victory for the will of the people'. Do we call it true victory for the rule of law or political manipulations?
2. Most politicians of PDP extraction are claiming the APC has been victimizing their party at the tribunals thereby jeopardizing the free will of the people. Do we call it jeopardizing free will of the people or we call it survival of the fittest?
Clear instances have seen all of the political parties involved in electoral malpractices. We can therefore not adjudge any of them to be running on the free will of the Nigerian people. They all hijacked the will of the people at locations where they were stronger than their opposition. Would that still qualify as the people's will?
If the will of the people is being hijacked at the polls, it means the will of the people is still unknown. This is not good enough for our democracy.
What this should also mean to any right-thinking Nigerian is, we must brag moderately about the acceptability of any of these political parties. They all are hijackers of political will!
What then, is the will of the people?
Sleep good!
Tonight on our series of Night Thoughts, I feel compelled to address a fundamental issue that has bedeviled our society for a long time.
In one of our radio sessions, a young person called in to 'market' himself as is the practice on our programme. In the course of marketing himself he said, 'I am looking for a company that will ACQUIRE me...' At that point, the word 'acquire' began to sound to me like something I never heard before. How on earth can any job seeker be looking for a company that will 'acquire' him? How else can one describe a pathetic use of English?
On social media, youths have started apportioning to themselves, self-acclaimed roles of media warriors and uncommissioned image makers. Unfortunately, when you read through majority of these presentations, you find ignorance screaming therein. An example is the simplistic analysis of legal processes without even the faintest knowledge of the provisions of the constitution.
A young person who should likely be about my age called me yesterday to discuss an official issue. I responded by asking him to call me during working hours as I was not equipped at that moment to give effective responses. The next question he asked me was, 'when'? I replied, 'working hours' and he asked again, 'Thursday or Friday?' For me, that was the height of frustration, so I asked him, 'since when did they change working hours from Monday to Friday, 8am - 4pm?'
I brought these examples not because I want to ridicule anyone, but because I want us as youths to correct an anomaly. I want us as youths to immediately deal with the disgraceful ignorance that we display in many situations that could have given us lifetime opportunities.
We have made so much noise in recent times about the elders not willing to hand over governance to us. How do you feel safe handing over governance to an ignorant generation? How do we expect these elders who laboured with their lives to build our nation to now feel safe handing over their sweats to youths who do not know the difference between the ECA and the SWF? How do you hand over an economy you laboured to build to a young person who cannot simply define foreign exchange?
Social media is today not helping our situation at all. I see too many young persons fighting for Amaechi, Saraki, Wike and the others on Facebook while forgetting to develop their own lives. The 'roforofo' analysis that Facebook has afforded everyone is now making a mess of the lives of our youths. Why meddle in the fight of Amaechi and Wike when you are not in anyway building yourself to one day become better than them?
We make so much noise about politicians sending their wards abroad. I am sure they are doing so to separate their children from the ignorant pack. Politicians are everyday distancing their children from the corruptive tendencies of today's youths, yet, the youths are not doing anything to better their lives by improving on the contents of their brains.
In Soyinka's era only, a lot of scholars developed. We could begin to talk of Achebe, Fagunwa et al. How many has my generation produced? Are we just here to become yahoo boys and political criminals? Are we even trying to grow?
While the young men are busy wasting away trying to dupe white people, their lady counterparts are busy opening their laps to any monkey who can afford a nice hotel room. What have we turned our society into with this pitiable ignorance?
Those who ruled as young people got the chance because they were loaded with wisdom acquired from dedication to study and information acquisition, not by perpetual clubbing, addiction to sex and drugs amidst other social vices. Murtala Mohammed would not be President at 28 he was a junkie or a dullard.
Yes, we are leaders of tomorrow. Literally, that tomorrow would have been now, but our tomorrow will only come when our brains are filled to capacity!
Until then, shall we take over power with ignorant minds and empty heads?
MBA!
And before you sleep, lemme quickly give you this to ponder on overnight...
As was the case in the Primary election of Oyinlola vs Isiaka Adeleke in 2002, the Primary election that produced Iyiola Omisore as the candidate of the PDP in the 2014 gubernatorial election was an aberration...it was everything short of internal democracy.
In 2002, the Governorship Primary elections of the PDP between Olagunsoye Oyinlola and Isiaka Adeleke was decided in Abuja because everything on home soil pointed to the fact that Adeleke was going to emerge as the winner of that election.
In Abuja however, many authentic delegates discovered to their chagrin that the PDP had manufactured another person to bear their names. So, the moment you get to the door, attempt to get accredited, they just tell you the person bearing the name is already inside. Plain simple democratic coup... The reason given was, every spiritual consultation had it that Adeleke could not defeat Akande. Let's leave that...
In 2014 as well, Iyiola Omisore was produced on the platform of PDP through almost the same kind of democratic coup that took place at GMT events centre in Osogbo.
The difference between 2003 and 2014 as I see it is, if the PDP had allowed a free and fair primary, Omisore would still have won because he had adequate control of the party structure and he had the money for good effect.
Unfortunately, it was not a matter of winning or not winning. It was a matter of a fundamental defect in the very foundation of our democracy. We seem to believe in forceful acquisition of power without allowing the freewill of the people to prevail.
This is evident in the APC too, one party that is notably notorious for never conducting primaries. While the PDP does forceful acquisition through stage-managed primaries, the APC does forceful acquisition through anointing of desired candidates by privileged godfathers. They as well utilized the stage management method in some cases.
Today, the APC is the other side of the PDP coin, so I do not see our democracy progressing. All I see is a continued celebration of democratic unrighteousness.
Between the PDP and the APC as they are presently constituted, Nigeria is in between the devil and the deep blue sea.
Until a fundamental redefinition of our political values is undertaken, our #change has not come...we are only marching on the same spot!
I missed my session of goodnight thoughts yesterday due to circumstances beyond my control. My apologies.
Here is your midnight thoughts for today. Ponder on these issues while you go to bed and come up with whatever decision suits your life!
In 2003 when Oyinlola was elected the Governor of OSUN State, his intention was not the Gubernatorial election. He was actually preparing to run for Senate. The then executives of the PDP decided to convince him to run because of the negative image already imprinted in the hearts of the people concerning Isiaka Adeleke as being a wasteful spender and a bad manager of resources. This coupled with 'spiritual consultations' meant Adeleke was not sellable.
Oyinlola being a neutral candidate acceptable to all parties was wooed and he consequently contested. The politicking that led to his emergence is not my focus on this session.
When he finally became Governor, Oyinlola showed signs of being a good administrator, promptly fixing the errors of the immediate past administration. Of significant importance was his reabsorption of retrenched workers.
Few years down the line however, his political activities began showing a worrisome pattern. It is said that absolute power corrupts absolutely, this played out in Lagun's case. All of a sudden, he became a dictatorial politician who would singlehandedly pick candidates without primary elections or coerce opponents into stepping down. His second term ambition against Kola Ogunwale, Jumoke Etteh vs Wale Ajanaku scenarios and a host of others are valid examples.
Eventually, it became clearer to every keen observer that he was politically loyal to Obasanjo. Of course, a son must run the DNA of his father. OBJ in his dictatorial nature, had manifestations in Lagun's life. He became a dictator too.
Jonathan came in and he began trying to flush out the old dictators and establish a new set of politicians. That was when OBJ, Oyinlola and others began having problems with GEJ.
Today however, that set of dictatorial fathers and sons are now in the APC. More worrisome is the fact that the APC is a conglomeration of dictators. ACN dictators who in themselves have no regard for internal democracy, APGA dictators led by another OBJ son looking for South-East dominance, PDP dictators in the mix of Saraki, the Kwara born-to-rule dynasty and a host of others. Oyinlola is one of these people now.
Their clashes of interest came so fast because the new PDP that took Oyinlola into APC consists of real dictators who wants power, yet wants to determine who gets the leftover. The ACN, CPC and APGA they went to meet are just in this category as well. How then can four he-goats mount one she?
The PDP ran into crisis in OSUN because under Oyinlola, the rules of internal democracy were thrown into the dustbin. The PDP ran into crisis in Nigeria because an old set of dictators clashed with a new, upcoming set....fire!
APC is now edging very close to that dilemma. The party is now essentially made up of egoistic politicians who all want power for the sake of power.
The party's implosion is nearer than we think!